Fantasy Baseball Sleepers and Busts - First Basemen

This page shows how fantasy baseball first basemen are performing based upon their pre-season projected points versus their actual fantasy points scored this season.

2024 First Base Sleepers and Busts

Player PROJ
(per game)		 FPTS
(per game)		 Diff Proj Rank Actual Rank Ratio
Freddie FreemanF. Freeman (LAD - 1B) 3.1 3.0 -0.1 7 21 -14
Matt OlsonM. Olson (ATL - 1B) 3.0 2.1 -0.9 8 121 -113
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.V. Guerrero Jr. (TOR - 1B,DH) 2.9 2.2 -0.7 10 99 -89
Bryce HarperB. Harper (PHI - 1B,DH) 2.8 3.0 0.2 18 39 -21
Pete AlonsoP. Alonso (NYM - 1B) 2.6 2.4 -0.1 35 81 -46
Paul GoldschmidtP. Goldschmidt (STL - 1B,DH) 2.4 1.4 -0.9 42 286 -244
Yandy DiazY. Diaz (TB - 1B,DH) 2.4 2.0 -0.5 44 138 -94
Christian WalkerC. Walker (ARI - 1B) 2.4 2.4 0.1 46 67 -21
Luis ArraezL. Arraez (SD - 2B,1B) 2.5 2.4 -0.1 51 80 -29
Triston CasasT. Casas (BOS - 1B) 2.2 2.2 0.0 69 546 -477
Josh NaylorJ. Naylor (CLE - 1B,DH) 2.6 2.8 0.2 71 53 18
Vinnie PasquantinoV. Pasquantino (KC - 1B) 2.5 2.5 0.1 76 75 1
Spencer TorkelsonS. Torkelson (DET - 1B) 2.1 1.3 -0.8 79 413 -334
Cody BellingerC. Bellinger (CHC - 1B,CF) 2.5 2.4 -0.1 88 139 -51
Alec BohmA. Bohm (PHI - 3B,1B) 2.2 3.0 0.8 96 28 68
Spencer SteerS. Steer (CIN - 1B,LF,3B) 2.2 2.3 0.2 100 91 9
Isaac ParedesI. Paredes (TB - 3B,1B) 2.3 2.4 0.0 103 97 6
Josh BellJ. Bell (MIA - 1B,DH) 2.2 1.7 -0.5 115 185 -70
Jake CronenworthJ. Cronenworth (SD - 2B,1B) 2.0 2.3 0.3 127 84 43
Rhys HoskinsR. Hoskins (MIL - 1B,DH) 2.2 1.9 -0.3 141 298 -157
Justin TurnerJ. Turner (TOR - DH,1B) 2.1 1.7 -0.4 144 252 -108
Andrew VaughnA. Vaughn (CHW - 1B) 2.0 1.7 -0.3 149 235 -86
Jeimer CandelarioJ. Candelario (CIN - 1B,3B) 2.2 2.1 0.0 156 154 2
Kris BryantK. Bryant (COL - DH,RF,1B) 2.0 0.8 -1.3 160 721 -561
Nate LoweN. Lowe (TEX - 1B) 2.0 1.6 -0.4 162 366 -204
Jose AbreuJ. Abreu (1B) 2.0 0.4 -1.5 166 756 -590
Christian Encarnacion-StrandC. Encarnacion-Strand (CIN - 1B,DH) 2.1 1.1 -1.0 170 642 -472
Jake BurgerJ. Burger (MIA - 3B,DH,1B) 1.9 1.4 -0.4 171 406 -235
Ty FranceT. France (SEA - 1B) 2.0 1.6 -0.4 173 303 -130
Nolan SchanuelN. Schanuel (LAA - 1B) 2.1 1.7 -0.4 185 242 -57
Mark CanhaM. Canha (DET - LF,DH,RF,1B) 2.2 2.0 -0.2 197 173 24
Joey MenesesJ. Meneses (WSH - 1B,DH) 1.8 1.6 -0.2 221 289 -68
Salvador PerezS. Perez (KC - C,DH,1B) 2.0 2.4 0.4 246 82 164
Carlos SantanaC. Santana (MIN - 1B) 2.0 2.2 0.2 248 127 121
Brandon DruryB. Drury (LAA - 2B,1B) 1.9 0.8 -1.1 252 688 -436
Anthony RizzoA. Rizzo (NYY - 1B) 2.0 1.7 -0.3 255 203 52
Ryan MountcastleR. Mountcastle (BAL - 1B,DH) 2.0 2.3 0.2 279 115 164
DJ LeMahieuD. LeMahieu (NYY - 3B,1B) 1.8 1.0 -0.8 283 766 -483
LaMonte WadeL. Wade (SF - 1B,RF,LF) 2.1 1.8 -0.3 284 315 -31
Wilmer FloresW. Flores (SF - 1B,DH,3B) 2.6 1.5 -1.1 328 326 2
Alex KirilloffA. Kirilloff (MIN - LF,DH,RF,1B) 2.1 1.2 -0.9 331 434 -103
Ryan NodaR. Noda (OAK - 1B) 1.5 0.2 -1.3 344 845 -501
Rowdy TellezR. Tellez (PIT - 1B,DH) 2.1 1.0 -1.1 359 486 -127
Ryan O'HearnR. O'Hearn (BAL - 1B,DH,RF) 2.0 2.4 0.4 382 155 227
Michael BuschM. Busch (CHC - 1B,3B) 1.9 1.5 -0.4 412 280 132
Kyle ManzardoK. Manzardo (CLE - 1B,DH) 2.0 0.6 -1.4 420 734 -314
Elehuris MonteroE. Montero (COL - 1B) 1.8 1.3 -0.6 428 387 41
Gio UrshelaG. Urshela (DET - 3B,1B) 2.0 1.5 -0.5 434 441 -7
Luke RaleyL. Raley (SEA - RF,LF,1B) 1.8 1.2 -0.5 443 394 49
Joey GalloJ. Gallo (WSH - 1B,LF) 1.6 0.5 -1.0 444 690 -246
Connor JoeC. Joe (PIT - LF,RF,1B) 1.9 2.0 0.1 445 178 267
Cavan BiggioC. Biggio (LAD - 2B,RF,1B) 1.7 0.7 -1.0 468 632 -164
Ezequiel DuranE. Duran (TEX - 3B,DH,LF,SS,1B) 1.8 0.9 -0.8 480 530 -50
Gavin SheetsG. Sheets (CHW - RF,DH,1B) 1.8 1.9 0.0 494 201 293
Donovan SolanoD. Solano (SD - 1B,3B,2B) 1.7 1.5 -0.2 534 549 -15
Abraham ToroA. Toro (OAK - 3B,DH,2B,1B) 1.8 1.7 -0.1 567 204 363
Jonathan ArandaJ. Aranda (TB - 1B) 2.1 0.9 -1.2 594 743 -149
Gabriel AriasG. Arias (CLE - SS,3B,1B) 1.4 0.7 -0.7 631 652 -21
J.D. DavisJ. Davis (3B,1B) 1.6 1.1 -0.6 653 589 64
Hunter GoodmanH. Goodman (COL - RF,1B) 1.7 1.6 -0.1 711 596 115
Patrick WisdomP. Wisdom (CHC - 3B,1B) 1.3 1.1 -0.2 725 610 115
Nick PrattoN. Pratto (KC - 1B,LF) 1.3 0.0 -1.3 732 932 -200
Garrett CooperG. Cooper (1B,DH) 1.9 0.6 -1.3 766 709 57
Dominic SmithD. Smith (BOS - 1B) 1.9 1.5 -0.4 870 509 361
Tyler SoderstromT. Soderstrom (OAK - C,1B) 1.2 1.4 0.1 873 584 289
Jake BauersJ. Bauers (MIL - 1B,RF,LF) 1.6 1.4 -0.2 893 422 471
Emmanuel RiveraE. Rivera (MIA - 3B,1B) 1.9 0.5 -1.4 947 684 263
Owen MillerO. Miller (MIL - 1B,3B,2B) 1.9 0.2 -1.7 992 884 108
Jon SingletonJ. Singleton (HOU - 1B) 1.5 1.2 -0.3 1,051 471 580
Jake CaveJ. Cave (COL - LF,RF,1B) 1.5 0.9 -0.7 1,053 553 500
Nick LoftinN. Loftin (KC - 2B,1B) 2.0 1.3 -0.8 1,118 599 519
Kody ClemensK. Clemens (PHI - 2B,3B,1B) 1.8 1.9 0.1 1,148 639 509
Matt MervisM. Mervis (CHC - 1B) 1.7 0.1 -1.6 1,154 909 245
Michael TogliaM. Toglia (COL - RF,1B) 1.5 1.4 -0.1 1,165 618 547
Trey CabbageT. Cabbage (HOU - 1B,RF) 1.5 0.9 -0.5 1,182 732 450
David FryD. Fry (CLE - C,DH,LF,1B) 1.7 2.6 0.9 1,195 160 1,035
Miguel SanoM. Sano (LAA - 1B) 1.3 0.8 -0.5 1,197 745 452
Bobby DalbecB. Dalbec (BOS - 1B,3B) 1.1 0.0 -1.1 1,227 917 310
Spencer HorwitzS. Horwitz (TOR - 1B) 1.9 1.9 -0.1 1,228 767 461
Jared WalshJ. Walsh (CHW - 1B) 1.3 1.1 -0.1 1,243 720 523
Tyler NevinT. Nevin (OAK - 3B,RF,1B) 1.5 1.2 -0.4 1,278 557 721
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Highest Player Projections
Preseason
Christian McCaffrey (SF) 341
CeeDee Lamb (DAL) 338
Jalen Hurts (PHI) 334
Patrick Mahomes (KC) 329
Josh Allen (BUF) 328
Lamar Jackson (BAL) 318
Breece Hall (NYJ) 312
Tyreek Hill (MIA) 304
Joe Burrow (CIN) 298
Justin Jefferson (MIN) 297
Brock Purdy (SF) 296
Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) 295
Dak Prescott (DAL) 287
Ja'Marr Chase (CIN) 285
Bijan Robinson (ATL) 285
Puka Nacua (LAR) 284
Saquon Barkley (PHI) 282
Anthony Richardson (IND) 277
Jayden Daniels (WSH) 276
End of Season Results
Nikola Jokic (DEN) 4820.3
Luka Doncic (DAL) 4618.0
Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL) 4328.0
Domantas Sabonis (SAC) 4320.0
Anthony Davis (LAL) 4052.8
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) 3884.3
LeBron James (LAL) 3613.5
Jayson Tatum (BOS) 3579.5
Victor Wembanyama (SA) 3567.3
Jalen Brunson (NY) 3530.5
Kevin Durant (PHX) 3523.8
Anthony Edwards (MIN) 3468.0
De'Aaron Fox (SAC) 3401.0
Paolo Banchero (ORL) 3345.0
Dejounte Murray (ATL) 3332.3
Tyrese Haliburton (IND) 3204.8
DeMar DeRozan (CHI) 3204.0
Stephen Curry (GS) 3185.0
Damian Lillard (MIL) 3148.5
Today (6/18)
Tanner Houck (BOS) 16.17
Framber Valdez (HOU) 15.35
Nick Lodolo (CIN) 15.08
Aaron Nola (PHI) 14.73
Logan Webb (SF) 14.52
Triston McKenzie (CLE) 12.27
Alec Marsh (KC) 11.97
Jake Irvin (WSH) 11.68
Pablo Lopez (MIN) 11.19
Roddery Munoz (MIA) 11.01
Michael Lorenzen (TEX) 10.81
Albert Suarez (BAL) 10.37
Bailey Falter (PIT) 10.36
Justin Steele (CHC) 10.22
Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) 10.20
Bryce Miller (SEA) 10.08
Luis Severino (NYM) 10.00
Mike King (SD) 9.77
Chris Bassitt (TOR) 9.65
End of Season Results
Nathan MacKinnon (COL) 1262
Auston Matthews (TOR) 1112
Nikita Kucherov (TB) 1096
Connor McDavid (EDM) 1027
David Pastrnak (BOS) 1011
Artemi Panarin (NYR) 990
Filip Forsberg (NSH) 924
Mikko Rantanen (COL) 909
Sam Reinhart (FLA) 893
Kirill Kaprizov (MIN) 870
Roman Josi (NSH) 868
Cale Makar (COL) 866
J.T. Miller (VAN) 864
William Nylander (TOR) 857
Leon Draisaitl (EDM) 856
Zach Hyman (EDM) 826
Sidney Crosby (PIT) 806
Evan Bouchard (EDM) 805
Quinn Hughes (VAN) 789
Most Added Players
Greg Zuerlein (NYJ) +74.11%
Ka'imi Fairbairn (HOU) +71.57%
Anthony Richardson (IND) +70.31%
Aaron Rodgers (NYJ) +65.58%
Nick Chubb (CLE) +63.91%
Mike Williams (NYJ) +59.22%
Joe Burrow (CIN) +58.64%
Tank Dell (HOU) +53.45%
J.K. Dobbins (LAC) +51.30%
Darnell Mooney (ATL) +45.07%
Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL) +0.82%
Jaylen Brown (BOS) +0.71%
Paul George (LAC) +0.70%
Kyrie Irving (DAL) +0.57%
Jamal Murray (DEN) +0.55%
Stephen Curry (GS) +0.48%
Damian Lillard (MIL) +0.44%
James Harden (LAC) +0.41%
Pascal Siakam (IND) +0.37%
Domantas Sabonis (SAC) +0.31%
Miguel Vargas (LAD) +26.09%
Louie Varland (MIN) +25.27%
DJ Herz (WSH) +23.02%
Carlos Rodriguez (MIL) +16.43%
Carson Spiers (CIN) +14.08%
Tobias Myers (MIL) +13.07%
David Hamilton (BOS) +12.67%
Tyler Soderstrom (OAK) +11.37%
Joc Pederson (ARI) +10.43%
Ramon Laureano (ATL) +10.29%
Brayden McNabb (VGS) +30.29%
Jake Walman (DET) +29.58%
Colton Parayko (STL) +28.65%
David Savard (MTL) +26.53%
Matt Roy (LA) +24.10%
Adam Larsson (SEA) +23.89%
Ryan Graves (PIT) +22.84%
Ben Chiarot (DET) +22.80%
Rafael Harvey-Pinard (MTL) +22.38%
Alec Martinez (VGS) +20.95%
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