Alvin Kamara #41
NO · RB · ADP: 32.7
Proj RB Rank: 7 · Bye: 1
2024 Outlook from
The End Is Near?
New Orleans Saints running back Alvin Kamara enjoyed another fine season in 2023. He finished as the overall RB12 in full PPR leagues and was the RB3 in PPR fantasy points per game (PPG). However, serious cracks have emerged in his profile. Kamara finished 46th out of 49 eligible backs in Next Gen Stats Rush Yards Over Expectation (RYOE). Among backs with 100 carries, Kamara finished 40th out of 49 eligible backs in Missed Tackles Forced Per Attempt (MTF/ATT) per Fantasy Points Data Suite. He had career lows in rushing yards, yards per reception (Y/R), and yards per target (Y/TGT). The writing appears to be on the wall. Gamers should not be surprised if things fully cratered this year, and a Todd Gurley-like drop-off is within the realm of possibilities. Kamara currently has an NFFC average draft position (ADP) of 54th overall and is the 16th running back off draft boards. This may seem like a bargain for a player with Kamara's upside, but the advanced data and raw statistics suggest otherwise. Entering his age 29 season, Kamara still has value in PPR leagues but poses a greater risk than previous years. Fantasy players should be aware of these risks before drafting him.
2023 Stats
Att RuYard RuTD Rec ReYard FPTS
180 694 5 75 466 233.0
(17.9/gm)
Team Competition
Alvin Kamara 247.0
Kendre Miller 80.0
Jamaal Williams 73.0
Adam Prentice 9.0
Zander Horvath 9.0
News Feed
Similar ADP
Joe Mixon (HOU) 30.05
Marvin Harrison Jr. (ARI) 30.70
Mike Evans (TB) 31.56
Lamar Jackson (BAL) 31.88
Michael Pittman Jr. (IND) 31.95
Alvin Kamara 32.67
Josh Jacobs (GB) 32.99
Stefon Diggs (HOU) 34.75
Career Statistics
Season GP Att RuYard RuTD Target Rec ReYard ReTD
2017 16 120 728 8 100 81 826 5
2018 15 194 883 14 105 81 709 4
2019 14 171 797 5 97 81 533 1
2020 15 187 932 16 107 83 756 5
2021 13 240 898 4 67 47 439 5
2022 15 223 898 2 77 57 490 2
2023 13 180 694 5 87 75 466 1
2023 Game Log
Week Opp FPTS SN% Att RuYard RuTD Target Rec ReYard ReTD
Week 17 @ TB 6.9 33 10 45 0 2 2 4 0
Week 16 @ LAR 8.5 73 9 19 0 6 5 16 0
Week 15 vs NYG 16.0 52 16 66 0 5 5 44 0
Week 14 vs CAR 13.5 54 12 56 1 5 3 -11 0
Week 13 vs DET 28.9 58 14 51 2 8 6 58 0
Week 12 @ ATL 15.9 64 15 69 0 5 4 50 0
Week 10 @ MIN 18.5 76 9 42 0 7 7 33 0
Week 9 vs CHI 11.0 49 9 26 0 5 4 44 0
Week 8 @ IND 27.0 58 17 59 1 5 4 51 1
Week 7 vs JAX 29.3 73 17 62 0 14 12 91 0
Week 6 @ HOU 17.4 80 19 68 0 8 7 36 0
Week 5 @ NE 18.7 62 22 80 1 3 3 17 0
Week 4 vs TB 21.4 75 11 51 0 14 13 33 0
2023 Stat Splits
Split GP FPTS Att RuYard RuTD Target Rec ReYard ReTD
Home vs. Away
AWAY 7 112.9 101 382 2 36 32 207 1
HOME 6 120.1 79 312 3 51 43 259 0
vs. Opponent
ATL 1 15.9 15 69 0 5 4 50 0
CAR 1 13.5 12 56 1 5 3 -11 0
CHI 1 11.0 9 26 0 5 4 44 0
DET 1 28.9 14 51 2 8 6 58 0
HOU 1 17.4 19 68 0 8 7 36 0
IND 1 27.0 17 59 1 5 4 51 1
JAX 1 29.3 17 62 0 14 12 91 0
LAR 1 8.5 9 19 0 6 5 16 0
MIN 1 18.5 9 42 0 7 7 33 0
NE 1 18.7 22 80 1 3 3 17 0
NYG 1 16.0 16 66 0 5 5 44 0
TB 2 28.3 21 96 0 16 15 37 0
Projections